Cade Otton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Cade Otton has been used less as a potential target this season (87.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (63.9%).
The model projects Cade Otton to garner 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has posted big gains this year, currently boasting 30.0 per game.
With a fantastic 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (76th percentile) this year, Cade Otton places as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Cade Otton rates as one of the worst TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

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