Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Cade Otton's 86.4% Route% this season marks a meaningful improvement in his passing attack volume over last season's 63.9% figure.
In this contest, Cade Otton is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has produced significantly more this year, now pacing 32.0 per game.
Favors Under
Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton places among the leading tight ends in the pass game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
This year, the tough Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a puny 4.1 YAC.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.