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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Cade Otton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-780).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +400 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +380.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.9 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (77.9%) versus tight ends this year (77.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 7th-least passing TDs in the NFL to TEs: 0.23 per game this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have utilized play action on a mere 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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