Cade Otton Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 9, 2022 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Cade Otton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-891).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -811 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -891.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated motion in their offense on 45.6% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.7%) versus TEs this year (67.7%).
The San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed the 5th-least TDs through the air in the league to TEs: 0.17 per game this year.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.