Cade Otton Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 6, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+358/-708).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +439 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +358.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: least in the league.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (54.3%) to TEs this year (54.3%).
The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 3rd-least TDs through the air in football to TEs: 0.08 per game this year.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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