Byron Pringle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Byron Pringle

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Byron Pringle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Byron Pringle has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a stellar 73.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).
The San Francisco 49ers cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
The Chicago Bears have faced a stacked the box on a measly 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears have incorporated play action on a mere 23.7% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.