Byron Pringle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Byron Pringle

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Byron Pringle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-111/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Byron Pringle to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).
Byron Pringle has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching an impressive 74.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Byron Pringle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a terrific 9.89 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 42.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.