Bryce Young TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

TD Passes

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.0 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
The Panthers have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
In tallying a massive 39.1 pass attempts per game this year, Bryce Young ranks among the top QBs in the league (92nd percentile) in this regard.

Favors Under

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
This year, the formidable Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a measly 1.12 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.

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