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Bryce Young
NFL · Player Props
Bryce Young
QB · Carolina Panthers
TD Passes
Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 3:56 PM UTC
NFL Props Bryce Young TD Passes

Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-278/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +200.

Favors Over
  • The Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 59.9% of their chances: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.46 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Favors Under
  • The Panthers offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in the league against the Detroit Lions defense this year (67.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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