Bryce Young TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

TD Passes

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 20, 2023 5:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-270/+200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Bryce Young to attempt 31.4 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
Bryce Young has been among the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 58.7% Completion%, checking in at the 16th percentile.

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