Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.3% run rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.3 total plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 64.0 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Bryce Young to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game in this contest (11.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.7% in games he has played).
The Carolina O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Panthers offense to tilt 5.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
In this contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projection model to notch the 8th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 3.9.
The Texans defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering just 3.79 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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