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Bryce Young

Bryce Young Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.46 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Bryce Young to be much more involved in his team's run game in this week's contest (13.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (7.6% in games he has played).

The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.

Bryce Young's running efficiency (7.36 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (96th percentile among quarterbacks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Panthers are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Panthers to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The opposing side have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 55 per game) versus the Lions defense this year.

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