Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Bryce Young to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (15.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.9% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.

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