Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Panthers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.5 plays per game.
As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in football last year.
Bryce Young's ground effectiveness (6.10 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (87th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints run defense has allowed a puny 4.64 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 24th-smallest rate in football.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
The Saints linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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