Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
The Panthers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.
Bryce Young's rushing effectiveness (5.99 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (79th percentile when it comes to QBs).
Bryce Young is positioned as one of the best QBs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.82 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 91st percentile.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The projections expect Bryce Young to accrue 2.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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