Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
The Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.
With an excellent rate of 6.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (84th percentile), Bryce Young stands as one of the best running QBs in the league this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 39.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
The model projects Bryce Young to accrue 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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