Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.8 per game on average).
When talking about run support (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.
With an excellent record of 6.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (77th percentile), Bryce Young ranks as one of the best rushing QBs in football this year.
With an exceptional record of 3.71 yards-after-contact (91st percentile), Bryce Young stands as one of the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
The Bears defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive blueprint to skew 6.5% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The model projects the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
This week, Bryce Young is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 3.1.
The Bears defense boasts the best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 3.49 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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