Bryce Young Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 5:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 219.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 5.9% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (265.0 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers as the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.1% pass rate.
The Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Bryce Young has been among the least accurate QBs in football this year with a 58.4% Completion%, grading out in the 21st percentile.
Bryce Young has been among the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 4.41 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 3rd percentile.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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