Bryce Young Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 9:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive scheme to tilt 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
Bryce Young has attempted 38.9 passes per game this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Bryce Young grades out as one of the worst precision passers in football this year with a 60.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 10th percentile.
With a lackluster 5.37 adjusted yards-per-target (3rd percentile) this year, Bryce Young has been as one of the worst per-play QBs in the league.

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