Bryce Young Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 2:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 201.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 59.7% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Panthers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 63.0 plays per game.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Bryce Young is positioned as one of the worst precision passers in football this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 18th percentile.
With a bad 5.39 adjusted yards-per-target (3rd percentile) this year, Bryce Young stands as one of the least effective quarterbacks in football.
This year, the daunting Cowboys defense has conceded a meager 187.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 4th-best in football.