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Bryce Young

Bryce Young Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bryce Young Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 218.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 222.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 218.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive blueprint to skew 6.5% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (273.0 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Bryce Young to throw 32.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Bryce Young ranks as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a lowly 5.49 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 3rd percentile.

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