Bryce Young Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Completions

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Bryce Young Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the league against the Tennessee Titans defense this year (75.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 32.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
With a weak 61.4% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) this year, Bryce Young rates as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in the league.

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