Bryce Young Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a staggering 63.6 per game on average).
While Bryce Young has accounted for 7.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Carolina's running game in this week's game at 12.5%.
In regards to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a massive 14-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to garner 3.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.

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