Bryce Young Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
The Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 39.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
The model projects Bryce Young to accrue 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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