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Bryce Perkins

Bryce Perkins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Bryce Perkins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Bryce Perkins to earn 5.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Bryce Perkins this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Rams are a giant 16.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 102 per game) vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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