Bryce Perkins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Bryce Perkins

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Perkins

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Perkins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Bryce Perkins to earn 5.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Bryce Perkins this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Rams are a giant 16.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 102 per game) vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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