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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Brock Wright Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (83.7%) vs. tight ends this year (83.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Brock Wright's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 92.9% to 86.6%.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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