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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Brock Wright ranks as one of the leading tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an excellent 5.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 76th percentile.

This year, the feeble Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a monstrous 9.35 yards.

The Bears pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.

Brock Wright comes in as one of the bottom TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a measly 14.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

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