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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Lions to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Brock Wright's 10.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 5.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (just 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Brock Wright's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 92.9% to 82.4%.

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