Brock Wright Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Brock Wright

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 8, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Brock Wright has accrued a paltry 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 23rd percentile among TEs.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (69.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (69.4%).
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 2.87 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the NFL.

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