Brock Wright Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the NFL.
The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The New York Jets pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus tight ends this year, conceding 7.05 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.
The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.