Brock Wright Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus tight ends this year, surrendering 8.87 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions have used play action on a lowly 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.