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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (76.9%) to tight ends this year (76.9%).
  • The New York Giants pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus TEs this year, surrendering 8.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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