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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Brock Purdy TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Brock Purdy's throwing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.4% to 70.1%.

With an excellent rate of 2.07 per game (97th percentile), Brock Purdy ranks as one of the leading TD throwers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (52.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the San Francisco 49ers.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.5 plays per game.

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