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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After accounting for 6.9% of his offense's carries last year, Brock Purdy has been more involved in the running game this year, currently sitting at 15.3%.
  • Brock Purdy has run for a lot more yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 42.1% of their plays: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

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