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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run on 46.5% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect Brock Purdy to earn 5.0 carries this week, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Brock Purdy has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this season (15.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (6.9%).

Brock Purdy's 23.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a remarkable improvement in his rushing talent over last season's 9.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 11th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends project as the best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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