Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
With a 5.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to run on 46.4% of their downs: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the importance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the 49ers grades out as the 7th-best in football last year.
This year, the weak Bengals run defense has yielded a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 5th-worst in the league.
The Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Favors Under
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see just 120.9 total plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.9 per game on average).