Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).
Key Factors
Favors Over
A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
Brock Purdy's 2.88 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a a noteworthy boost in his rushing ability over last season's 2.11 rate.
Favors Under
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to accrue 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.
Brock Purdy has generated a measly 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among quarterbacks (20th percentile).
With a very bad record of 0.50 yards-after-contact (12th percentile), Brock Purdy has been as one of the worst running QBs in football this year.
This year, the imposing Cleveland Browns run defense has allowed a paltry 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-fewest in football.