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Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to run on 45.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.The 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year in run blocking.Brock Purdy's ground effectiveness has gotten better this season, totaling 2.89 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 2.11 figure last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.The projections expect Brock Purdy to notch 2.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.Brock Purdy has been among the weakest QBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.50 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 12th percentile.When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.
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