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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
  • Brock Purdy has run for substantially more yards per game (11.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).
  • Brock Purdy's 5.44 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a substantial progression in his rushing prowess over last year's 2.11 rate.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.1 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • In this week's game, Brock Purdy is predicted by our trusted projection set to earn the fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 3.3.

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