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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers are a big 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Brock Purdy to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (9.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.1% in games he has played).

The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved offense results when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Brock Purdy to total 2.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.

Brock Purdy has grinded out just 4.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (14th percentile).

More Brock Purdy Player Props

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