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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers as the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers grades out as the 7th-best in the league last year.
  • Brock Purdy's 9.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys an impressive improvement in his running talent over last year's 3.0 mark.
  • Brock Purdy's 4.93 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his rushing proficiency over last year's 2.11 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 53.1 per game on average).

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