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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to run on 44.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The San Francisco O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year in run support.

Brock Purdy has run for many more yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).

Brock Purdy's 5.14 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a substantial improvement in his running skills over last season's 2.11 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.5 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to total 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest out of all QBs.

The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 98.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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