Brock Purdy Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.1% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL last year in run support.
Brock Purdy has rushed for many more yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).
Brock Purdy's running efficiency has been refined this season, notching 5.15 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 2.11 figure last season.

Favors Under

The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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