Brock Purdy Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year.
Brock Purdy has rushed for a lot more yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).
Brock Purdy's rushing effectiveness has gotten better this season, totaling 5.24 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 2.11 mark last season.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.

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