Brock Purdy Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 207.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brock Purdy has thrown for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (268.0) this year than he did last year (151.0).
Brock Purdy's 72.8% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a a noteable progression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.4% mark.
Brock Purdy's pass-game effectiveness has improved this year, notching 9.78 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.97 figure last year.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 29.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

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