My Account Log Out

reorder

Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense efficiency when facing better conditions this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.

Brock Purdy has been among the most effective passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.39 yards-per-target while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season (73.5%).

The Arizona Cardinals defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a heavy 14.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest of all quarterbacks.

Brock Purdy has been among the bottom passers in football since the start of last season, averaging 177.0 yards per game while checking in at the 21st percentile.

More Brock Purdy Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™