Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 254.5 (-110/-120).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Brock Purdy's 271.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a meaningful growth in his passing skills over last season's 151.0 mark.
Brock Purdy's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.4% to 71.1%.
Brock Purdy's pass-game efficiency has been refined this season, notching 9.80 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.97 rate last season.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL vs. the Cardinals defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
Favors Under
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Brock Purdy to attempt 32.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.