Brock Purdy Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 251.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
Brock Purdy has thrown for substantially more adjusted yards per game (266.0) this season than he did last season (151.0).
Brock Purdy's 71.1% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a significant gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 66.4% mark.
Brock Purdy's 9.68 adjusted yards-per-target this year illustrates a remarkable progression in his passing efficiency over last year's 8.0% rate.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (259.0 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
In this game, Brock Purdy is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.6.

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