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Brock Purdy
NFL · Player Props
Brock Purdy
QB · San Francisco 49ers
Passing Yards
San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:31 PM EST
NFL Props Brock Purdy Passing Yards

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 239.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 9th-most yards in the league (246.0 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the league against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (73.9%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.78 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the league.
  • The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (6th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
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