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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-most yards in the league (264.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (73.5%).

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.04 yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the NFL.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

The San Francisco 49ers have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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